The Lowy Institute poll published last week showed that the proportion of Australians who think global warming is a serious and pressing problem that needs to be addressed, even at significant cost, dropped from 68% in 2006 to 48% this year. It dropped!
The Lowy Poll was pulished in the same week as findings from the Catlin Arctic Survey team. The University of Cambridge’s Professor Wahhams said the survey data supports the new consensus that the Arctic will be ice-free in summer within 20 years, and that much of it will happen within 10 years. It wasn’t long ago that scientists were telling us it would take 1000 years for the Arctic to become ice-free in summer. Now we are being told it will take a decade or two.
The Lowy Poll talks about "significant cost" but does not talk about the economic stimulus of climate change solutions. However, I suspect the percentage of people worried about the cost of climate change action has dropped for other reasons.
Climate change is in the news every day, it is a big political issue, and Copenhagen is coming up. I think a growing number of people feel that it is the responsibility of politicians to sort out the problem. It remains to be seen whether or not politicians can sort out climate change, and we will know after the Copenhagen meeting in December, but individual action remains vital.
The main reason that the Lowy Poll suggests a lower proportion of people concerned about climate change is more about human psychology.
Humans have a wonderful array of mechanisms that allow us to defend ourselves against an immediate threat. When confronted with a tiger in the wild, a human will instantly recognise danger and take immediate action. That action may involve running, hiding, throwing, yelling, incontinence, or climbing a tree. That action may or may not be successful, but for 10 minutes the human will be focused entirely on the situation at hand.
If the threat is more distant, and lacks compelling visual cues, then the human response seems to be more lethargic, no matter how serious the problem is. Images of rising sea levels or melting ice caps don't conjure up the same sense of urgency or personal responsibility as a tiger charging through the bush
Matthew Nott